Grid Destruction

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IMMEDIATE AFTERMATH ELECTRIC GRID LOSS Our cities would be the hardest hit, and the last place you should be. • Thousands trapped in elevators
• ALL electrical appliances shut down, refrigerators, heating, A/C, etc.
• ATM machines are inoperative
• Banks and other businesses shut down
• Gas stations without generators cannot pump fuel
• For most, profound darkness DAY 1 Some people are beginning to realize that this is very widespread, and could become a long-term grid down situation. As our weakened Magnetosphere continues to grow weaker, solarflares & CME’s of lesser magnitude will threaten our modern life. At some point the Earth will be hit by a consequential solar outburst which will destroy our modern way of life and cause large scale causalities across the Earth.

Unfortunately, the vast majority of people presume that there is a plan. And that regardless of the disaster, their government will step in and provide for them. It will all ‘get fixed’. In the terrifying event of a long-term grid down, this assumption will prove to be deadly.

Let’s look at a potential timeline of events when the lights go out in America. • Water faucets begin to run dry in some areas without utility generators
• Toilets will no longer flush without water pressure
• Law enforcement and responders overwhelmed by emergencies
• Outbreaks of looting in the ‘usual places’
• Batteries on laptops, cell phones, and flashlights are dying
• Those with generators are using up their fuel
• Massive ‘grid lock’ in the city regions, Some vehicles run out of gas and are abandoned
• Conflicting descriptions of power outage, unknown expected duration, but looking more like long term
• Officials disagree regarding recommended actions DAY 3 • Gas stations running out of fuel (those that could pump gas)
• Water is at a premium
• Some emergency generators assist in pumping water and sewage
• Many unprepared are running out of food already
• Majority are beginning to panic, as reality sets in of this being a widespread long-term grid down event
• Drug stores and grocery stores being stripped in some regions
• People are realizing the moment of terrifying realization, hopelessness

END OF WEEK 2 – LONG TERM GRID DOWN Assuming we had time to shut down nuclear plants, and we do not have to deal with nuclear plant meltdowns, the rebuilding process will be slow. It is very likely everything that could not be protected has been rendered scrap. Cars built after 1984 will have their electronics destroyed. Power plants will have to be rebuilt as well as our electrical grid delivery system. No hospitals, water plants, sewage plants, food processing plants will be operational.

Depending on the severity of the CME, it could deliver moderate to severe damage, which will dictate the required recovery time frame. Survival will depend on how well you can kill or grow your food. The sheep herders in poverty-stricken countries will see little change in their lives, but they knew how to survive before this great catastrophe. • Government emergency rations are depleted
• Hospital generator systems are running out of fuel, Re-supply fuel delivery isn’t looking good
• Some of the elderly and infirm are dying
• Hospitals overwhelmed and struggling to perform emergency services
• Martial Law is declared by the government, though most don’t get the message
• Military attempts to maintain a veneer of order, but not enough personnel
• Looting has become rampant, Desperate people join in
• Millions upon millions are ‘on their own’ THE END OF THE FIRST MONTH 90% of the population have perished END OF WEEK 1 – LONG TERM GRID DOWN • People have become deeply frightened and fear for their lives, now knowing that this is going to be a long-term grid down catastrophe
• Most are now entirely running out of food to eat
• Many are dying in regions without access to water and the inability to get somewhere else
• Many are dying in regions /climates where there is no heat (if during winter)
• Disease sets in (e.g. typhoid fever, cholera) from eating tainted food, water, poor sanitation THE END OF THE FIRST YEAR OF LONG-TERM GRID DOWN • Many drug dependent patients are dying or are dead
• The millions with severe psychotic disorders (no more meds) create bedlam
• People and communities fighting over resources
• Home invasions and violence related die-offs
• Escaped prisoners, organized gangs, more violence related die-off
• Communities are slowly starving

THE ELECTRIC GRID QUAGMIRE RELATED PAPERS Large transformers weigh 400 tons and require highly specialized transportation. These high-voltage transformers have a lead time of 24-36 months just for their construction, as they are custom-made in South Korea and China. They are not produced in the US.

The North American Reliability Corp (NERC) is a self-governing agency for power companies. Recently, they examined a Chinese-made transformer and discovered hidden backdoors that could allow the transformer to be remotely shut down. These backdoors could not be accessed or removed.

From January 1, 2006, to October 31, 2022, we imported 400 transformers over 10,000 KV from China. Among these, 20% are used in New York City, and 40% power Las Vegas.

There is no federal regulatory oversight for our electrical power, and there are absolutely no inspections. Private and public electrical companies self-regulate.

NERC spent over $1 billion over ten years on DC lobbying to prevent government intervention because they believe it would lead to unrealistic guidelines and rules, increasing operational costs without significant improvements.

Transformers are tested and required to endure 8 kV per meter, but this is only about 10% of what a significant solar flare could generate. In reality, they are not adequately protected.

TYPES OF GRID ATTACKS

Physical Attacks on the Grid:
Several years ago, in California, 2-3 individuals attacked a substation with AK-47s. Initially, they cut the communications from the substation underground and then shot the high-voltage transformer. However, they made a mistake, causing the transformer to slowly overheat instead of shorting out and burning up. At that time, the utility company rerouted power around the damaged transformer, preventing a power outage. If the power had tripped, Silicon Valley would have been without power for a month or more.

- In the US, we have approximately 55,000 substations.
- If attackers could take down as few as 9 of these substations, it could disrupt power coast to coast for a very extended period.
- We have virtually no spares, especially for the large transformers.
- It has been estimated that for about $10,000,000,000, the US could protect the entire nation. We spend more on debt service in just 6 days than this amount.

Cyber Threats:
The primary threat to our electrical grid from our enemies involves embedded backdoors and intrusions. Attackers exploit the back doors in our transformers. We do not have precise information about these intrusions.

Types of Threats: Nuclear EMP and Solar Flare or CME have Components E1 to E3.

Nuclear EMP:
E1 – Nano pulse, a very short pulse that directly attacks small microchips. This would affect electronics coast to coast.
E2 - Lightning – most houses are protected from this.
E3 – Slightly slower than an E1, this attacks the magnetosphere and anything with a long antenna, long transmission lines, essentially frying anything plugged in.

Solar Flare:
A Carrington-level Solar Flare ~ X80 to X100.
E3 – The pulse from the flare would knock out anything plugged in.

SCADAs: (supervisory control and data acquisition) have no internal security and are used extensively in modern equipment control and manufacturing processes. An intrusion could cause equipment and process crashes, inflicting massive damage on equipment and people.